Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Duchene 52.1% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 81.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 52.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Cirelli
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
53.9% (193)
-1.8%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
49.2% (65)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
100.0% (1)
-53.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +53.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Duchene
Home
52.4% (462)
54.9% (113)
Away
50.1% (369)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Cirelli
Duchene
P1
50.7%
54.9%
P2
49.6%
52.7%
P3
53.3%
51.9%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%