Anthony Cirelli vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Duchene 54.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.3%
Defensive zone
Duchene 50.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 64.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Cirelli
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Cirelli
Duchene
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
6
Cirelli
Duchene
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
10
3
Cirelli
Duchene
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
5
Cirelli
Duchene
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
53.9% (10,396)
-4.1%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
56.9% (1,665)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
49.1% (468)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Duchene
Home
49.6% (3,763)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Cirelli
Duchene
P1
49.9%
54.5%
P2
48.8%
54.5%
P3
49.2%
53.4%
OT
51.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |