Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Duchene 55.6% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 58.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 63.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Cirelli
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
56.5% (566)
-5.6%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
61.3% (62)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
22.2% (9)
+21.8%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Duchene
Home
50.6% (494)
56.6% (318)
Away
47.6% (441)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Cirelli
Duchene
P1
52.3%
57.2%
P2
45.4%
55.1%
P3
49.5%
55.6%
OT
62.5%
81.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%