Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Duchene 51.6% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 66.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 59.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Cirelli
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
51.2% (324)
-0.8%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
60.4% (53)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
16.7% (6)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Duchene
Home
54.2% (395)
51.6% (182)
Away
45.0% (509)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Cirelli
Duchene
P1
50.8%
49.6%
P2
50.0%
56.2%
P3
46.6%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%