Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Frost 48.7% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Frost 53.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 57.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 50.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Cirelli
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
47.4% (426)
-1.0%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
63.9% (36)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
20.0% (5)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Frost
Home
46.7% (478)
51.1% (221)
Away
46.4% (470)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Cirelli
Frost
P1
46.6%
47.5%
P2
48.6%
52.3%
P3
44.3%
44.7%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%