Anthony Cirelli vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Frost 50.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 17-17 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 70.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 71.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Cirelli
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
17
(34 meetings)
17
17
Cirelli
Frost
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
10
Cirelli
Frost
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
2
Cirelli
Frost
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
9
5
Cirelli
Frost
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
49.4% (3,598)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
55.5% (625)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
52.8% (36)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Frost
Home
49.6% (3,763)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Cirelli
Frost
P1
49.9%
50.8%
P2
48.8%
51.1%
P3
49.2%
48.5%
OT
51.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |