Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.5%). Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Frost 49.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 75.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 64.9%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Cirelli
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Cirelli
Frost
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
4
Cirelli
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
2
Cirelli
Frost
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
48.6% (704)
+2.3%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
55.7% (115)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
25.0% (4)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Frost
Home
50.6% (494)
49.9% (399)
Away
47.6% (441)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Cirelli
Frost
P1
52.3%
51.2%
P2
45.4%
53.9%
P3
49.5%
42.7%
OT
62.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |