Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Frost 46.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 67.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 69.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 55.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Cirelli
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cirelli
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Cirelli
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
45.6% (833)
+6.5%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
46.0% (100)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
55.6% (18)
-9.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Frost
Home
52.4% (462)
47.0% (440)
Away
50.1% (369)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Cirelli
Frost
P1
50.7%
42.5%
P2
49.6%
47.9%
P3
53.3%
46.6%
OT
61.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |