Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.5% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 91.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 91.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 84.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 88.3%
11.7%
88.3%
Cirelli
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Cirelli
O'Reilly
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
2
Cirelli
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (192)
60.3% (1,517)
-17.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.5% (387)
+38.5%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
55.0% (220)
+2.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cirelli is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Cirelli shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Cirelli
O'Reilly
Home
48.9% (133)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
38.3% (81)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Cirelli
O'Reilly
P1
56.9%
56.8%
P2
38.2%
64.6%
P3
42.5%
58.5%
Final 5 min
56.6%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |