Anthony Cirelli vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 39 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 54-47 in 101 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 79.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 63.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 71.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Cirelli
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
54
-
47
(101 meetings)
54
47
Cirelli
O'Reilly
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
24
15
Cirelli
O'Reilly
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
17
16
Cirelli
O'Reilly
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
13
16
Cirelli
O'Reilly
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
56.2% (15,260)
-6.4%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
58.8% (3,445)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
51.4% (2,811)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Cirelli
O'Reilly
Home
49.6% (3,763)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Cirelli
O'Reilly
P1
49.9%
55.6%
P2
48.8%
57.0%
P3
49.2%
55.1%
OT
51.6%
62.2%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |