Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Larkin 52.1% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 72.9%
Defensive zone
Lundell 65.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Lundell
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
51.8% (903)
-6.0%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
56.0% (225)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
47.4% (76)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Lundell shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Lundell
Larkin
Home
46.3% (434)
55.6% (662)
Away
42.4% (314)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Lundell
Larkin
P1
46.6%
49.9%
P2
39.9%
52.7%
P3
47.1%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
68.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Larkin
64.0%▲
55.0%
52.3%