Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.4%). Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs Larkin 55.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Lundell
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lundell
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Lundell
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
55.9% (943)
-1.6%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
57.4% (244)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
46.2% (106)
+4.8%
On power play, Lundell has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lundell is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Lundell shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Lundell
Larkin
Home
57.3% (450)
56.0% (654)
Away
52.3% (428)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Lundell
Larkin
P1
54.3%
54.4%
P2
58.2%
55.9%
P3
52.0%
55.2%
OT
75.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
54.0%▼
57.0%
54.9%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |