Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.9%). Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundell wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.2% vs Larkin 52.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 50.1%
Defensive zone
Lundell 53.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.6%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Lundell
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lundell
Larkin
Last 8: Lundell 5-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
4
1
Lundell
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Lundell
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (646)
52.4% (773)
+1.2%
Power Play
53.1% (130)
58.6% (220)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (156)
47.3% (146)
+0.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lundell is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Lundell shoots left. Larkin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (762).
Home / Away
Lundell
Larkin
Home
51.6% (498)
51.9% (615)
Away
53.5% (434)
54.2% (524)
By Period
Lundell
Larkin
P1
53.7%
52.3%
P2
55.4%
53.2%
P3
48.7%
52.6%
OT
45.5%
63.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.5%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |