Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Larkin 54.1% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 64.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Lundell
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lundell
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
53.6% (886)
-8.8%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
59.3% (317)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
48.7% (152)
+3.4%
On even strength, Larkin has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Lundell
Larkin
Home
45.5% (319)
56.6% (700)
Away
47.7% (260)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Lundell
Larkin
P1
50.8%
55.4%
P2
46.5%
54.7%
P3
41.7%
52.7%
OT
100.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
54.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |