Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.3% vs Hertl 54.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 56.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 57.0%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 53.9%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Kopitar
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kopitar
Hertl
Last 5: Kopitar 1-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Kopitar
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (1,285)
55.0% (382)
-2.2%
Power Play
64.8% (199)
59.7% (67)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (292)
75.0% (8)
-26.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kopitar is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,060).
Kopitar shoots left. Hertl is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Hertl
Home
53.7% (918)
58.8% (221)
Away
53.3% (858)
53.4% (236)
By Period
Kopitar
Hertl
P1
52.9%
52.6%
P2
53.6%
53.6%
P3
53.4%
62.4%
OT
64.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |