Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Hertl 55.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 74.4%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 55.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 69.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Kopitar
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
14
(18 meetings)
4
14
Kopitar
Hertl
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
8
Kopitar
Hertl
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Kopitar
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Kopitar
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
54.1% (717)
+2.8%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
61.9% (210)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
58.1% (31)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Hertl
Home
58.4% (774)
58.1% (492)
Away
56.0% (763)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Kopitar
Hertl
P1
59.4%
57.1%
P2
56.8%
54.0%
P3
55.9%
56.6%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |