Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Hertl 56.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 57.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 59.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Kopitar
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Kopitar
Hertl
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
5
Kopitar
Hertl
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
5
Kopitar
Hertl
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
4
Kopitar
Hertl
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
57.0% (718)
-0.6%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
64.9% (188)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
44.2% (77)
+1.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Hertl
Home
56.1% (786)
59.2% (463)
Away
54.0% (774)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Kopitar
Hertl
P1
56.2%
56.3%
P2
55.4%
55.4%
P3
53.0%
60.5%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |