Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Hertl 54.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 67.1%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 57.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 59.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Kopitar
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Kopitar
Hertl
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
7
Kopitar
Hertl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
2
Kopitar
Hertl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
54.1% (1,117)
+2.3%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
59.8% (296)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
34.4% (32)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Hertl
Home
56.3% (783)
54.3% (709)
Away
55.5% (825)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Kopitar
Hertl
P1
57.9%
51.6%
P2
54.5%
53.6%
P3
55.2%
58.6%
OT
57.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 17, 2022 | OT | 00:17 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |