Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Hertl 57.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 65.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 69.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Kopitar
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Kopitar
Hertl
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
6
Kopitar
Hertl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
2
Kopitar
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
4
Kopitar
Hertl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
58.1% (823)
-3.2%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
56.2% (265)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
62.9% (35)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Hertl
Home
56.8% (533)
59.7% (561)
Away
55.3% (535)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Kopitar
Hertl
P1
55.9%
51.6%
P2
57.1%
63.8%
P3
55.4%
58.6%
OT
55.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
56.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |