Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Kopitar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Hertl 52.3% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 71.1%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 62.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 56.1%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Kopitar
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Kopitar
Hertl
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
3
Kopitar
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
3
Kopitar
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Kopitar
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
51.6% (1,084)
+6.0%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
61.0% (246)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
44.1% (136)
+2.8%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kopitar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Kopitar shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Hertl
Home
57.2% (778)
55.2% (696)
Away
56.5% (731)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Kopitar
Hertl
P1
56.3%
55.4%
P2
57.1%
54.8%
P3
57.0%
48.9%
OT
59.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:57 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |