Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.2%). Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 90 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Hertl 54.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 113-103 in 216 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 58.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 50.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 56.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Kopitar
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
103
-
113
(216 meetings)
103
113
Kopitar
Hertl
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
35
55
Kopitar
Hertl
90 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
37
29
Kopitar
Hertl
66 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
31
29
Kopitar
Hertl
60 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
53.8% (8,268)
+0.8%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
59.3% (1,975)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
46.3% (806)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Hertl
Home
55.3% (11,643)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Kopitar
Hertl
P1
54.5%
53.6%
P2
54.9%
54.1%
P3
53.9%
55.3%
OT
59.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |