Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 54.8%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Hertl 54.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 51.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 50.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 56.6%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Kopitar
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kopitar
Hertl
Last 6: Kopitar 4-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (1,009)
54.7% (570)
+0.5%
Power Play
56.3% (229)
55.2% (143)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (169)
54.5% (77)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kopitar is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Kopitar shoots left. Hertl is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Hertl
Home
55.9% (680)
56.2% (379)
Away
54.5% (727)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Kopitar
Hertl
P1
55.4%
53.4%
P2
52.9%
52.7%
P3
56.7%
57.6%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |