Auston Matthews vs Brady Tkachuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Tkachuk 50.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 54.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 95.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 80.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Matthews
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Matthews
Tkachuk
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
6
Matthews
Tkachuk
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
1
Matthews
Tkachuk
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Tkachuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
49.0% (1,560)
+5.0%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
51.4% (1,291)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
45.0% (20)
+4.8%
On even strength, Matthews has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Home / Away
Matthews
Tkachuk
Home
56.3% (5,065)
50.7% (1,428)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
49.5% (1,443)
By Period
Matthews
Tkachuk
P1
55.5%
49.4%
P2
53.3%
51.3%
P3
52.8%
49.3%
OT
56.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:07 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |