Who wins more faceoffs, Auston Matthews or Jean-Gabriel Pageau?

Jean-Gabriel Pageau leads the head-to-head 6-2 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Auston Matthews's faceoff record against Jean-Gabriel Pageau?

Auston Matthews is 2-6 against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-0, Defensive 0-4, Neutral 0-2.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Auston Matthews or Jean-Gabriel Pageau?

Jean-Gabriel Pageau is the predicted winner with a 65.2% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Auston Matthews vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau

Auston MatthewsL vs Jean-Gabriel PageauR

2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.2% vs 55.3%). Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Matthews 55.8% vs Pageau 55.0% (+0.9%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Matthews 58.3%

Defensive zone Pageau 77.9%

Neutral zone Pageau 63.1%

Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 65.2%

34.8%

65.2%

Matthews Pageau

Head-to-Head Record

2 - 6 (8 meetings)

Matthews Pageau

Last 8: Matthews 2-6 Pageau

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Matthews

Matthews Pageau

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Pageau

Matthews Pageau

4 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Pageau

Matthews Pageau

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Matthews

Pageau

Edge

Even Strength

56.3% (1,167)

55.8% (1,000)

+0.5%

Power Play

57.5% (40)

56.6% (182)

+0.9%

Penalty Kill

50.0% (22)

51.2% (170)

-1.2%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Pageau shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).

Matthews shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).

Home / Away

Matthews

Pageau

Home

60.7% (572)

57.1% (674)

Away

52.4% (657)

53.5% (678)

By Period

Matthews

Pageau

60.3%

56.9%

55.6%

54.5%

53.3%

54.7%

45.0%

52.9%

Final 5 min

54.5%

55.3%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Matthews

70.0%▲

64.0%

56.2%

Pageau

54.0%▼

57.5%

55.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Nov 21, 2021	3	07:16	Offensive	Auston Matthews
Nov 21, 2021	3	06:52	Neutral	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 21, 2021	2	19:35	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 21, 2021	2	19:31	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 21, 2021	1	18:48	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 21, 2021	1	16:44	Offensive	Auston Matthews
Nov 21, 2021	1	10:05	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 21, 2021	1	00:27	Neutral	Jean-Gabriel Pageau

Matthews's Profile | Pageau's Profile