Auston Matthews vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Pageau 55.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 74.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 70.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Matthews
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Matthews
Pageau
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
3
Matthews
Pageau
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
3
Matthews
Pageau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
3
Matthews
Pageau
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
57.1% (905)
-3.7%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
55.2% (116)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
48.0% (204)
-6.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Matthews
Pageau
Home
56.5% (703)
57.0% (618)
Away
50.0% (616)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Matthews
Pageau
P1
52.1%
54.4%
P2
54.0%
61.0%
P3
54.0%
51.0%
OT
57.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |