Auston Matthews vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Pageau 56.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 61.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 84.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 60.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Matthews
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Matthews
Pageau
Last 10: Matthews 3-7 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
8
1
Matthews
Pageau
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
4
Matthews
Pageau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Pageau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
58.8% (889)
-6.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
58.2% (182)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
48.6% (185)
+26.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Matthews
Pageau
Home
54.8% (515)
59.0% (595)
Away
50.2% (534)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Matthews
Pageau
P1
54.4%
58.9%
P2
50.4%
57.9%
P3
51.8%
55.6%
OT
75.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | OT | 00:57 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |