Auston Matthews vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Pageau 58.7% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Pageau 52.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 51.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Matthews
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
59.6% (711)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
64.0% (114)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
56.4% (163)
-5.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Matthews
Pageau
Home
59.1% (528)
59.3% (506)
Away
55.1% (695)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Matthews
Pageau
P1
56.2%
56.8%
P2
58.1%
64.4%
P3
56.4%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%