Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Norris 51.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 52.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 60.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 58.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Matthews
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Matthews
Norris
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
1
Matthews
Norris
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
4
Matthews
Norris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
4
Matthews
Norris
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
51.2% (886)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
59.0% (83)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
38.8% (67)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Matthews
Norris
Home
60.7% (572)
55.6% (487)
Away
52.4% (657)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Matthews
Norris
P1
60.3%
54.8%
P2
55.6%
51.3%
P3
53.3%
48.0%
OT
45.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |