Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Norris 53.4% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Norris 52.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 54.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 54.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Matthews
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
53.6% (560)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
56.0% (109)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
53.1% (98)
-2.4%
On even strength, Matthews has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Matthews
Norris
Home
59.1% (528)
53.6% (373)
Away
55.1% (695)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Matthews
Norris
P1
56.2%
61.8%
P2
58.1%
51.7%
P3
56.4%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%