Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Norris 49.7% (+10.0%)
Offensive zone
Norris 55.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 53.0%
Neutral zone
Norris 53.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Matthews
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
50.0% (356)
+9.8%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
48.7% (76)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
42.9% (7)
+13.4%
On power play, Matthews has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Matthews
Norris
Home
60.0% (520)
47.2% (193)
Away
59.3% (452)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Matthews
Norris
P1
60.2%
53.8%
P2
58.2%
48.2%
P3
60.4%
47.9%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%