Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Norris 52.9% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 76.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 65.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Matthews
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
63.9% (36)
-11.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
50.0% (2)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
47.4% (19)
+27.6%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Norris is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Matthews
Norris
Home
54.8% (515)
62.2% (37)
Away
50.2% (534)
50.0% (20)
By Period
Matthews
Norris
P1
54.4%
64.3%
P2
50.4%
59.1%
P3
51.8%
52.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%