Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Eller 53.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 56.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Matthews
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Matthews
Eller
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
1
Matthews
Eller
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Eller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
53.8% (865)
-1.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
57.1% (21)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
52.6% (137)
+22.4%
On power play, Eller has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Matthews
Eller
Home
54.8% (515)
56.4% (486)
Away
50.2% (534)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Matthews
Eller
P1
54.4%
55.1%
P2
50.4%
55.3%
P3
51.8%
51.7%
OT
75.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |