Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Eller 55.7% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 54.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 58.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Matthews
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
56.5% (434)
+3.3%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
77.8% (9)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
56.5% (46)
-0.2%
On power play, Eller has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Matthews
Eller
Home
60.0% (520)
53.1% (211)
Away
59.3% (452)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Matthews
Eller
P1
60.2%
55.4%
P2
58.2%
58.1%
P3
60.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%