Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Eller 52.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 60.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Matthews
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Matthews
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
52.8% (742)
+0.6%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
67.6% (34)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
46.2% (156)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Matthews
Eller
Home
56.5% (703)
54.5% (448)
Away
50.0% (616)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Matthews
Eller
P1
52.1%
52.8%
P2
54.0%
50.9%
P3
54.0%
53.4%
OT
57.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |