Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Matthews wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.7% vs Suzuki 44.6% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 26-15 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 85.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 96.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 95.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Matthews
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
15
(41 meetings)
26
15
Matthews
Suzuki
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
11
9
Matthews
Suzuki
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
11
3
Matthews
Suzuki
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
3
Matthews
Suzuki
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (795)
43.8% (623)
+8.4%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
48.1% (129)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (32)
34.1% (44)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Matthews is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Matthews shoots left. Suzuki is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Matthews
Suzuki
Home
53.5% (454)
44.8% (364)
Away
50.1% (413)
43.3% (432)
By Period
Matthews
Suzuki
P1
54.8%
45.8%
P2
52.2%
42.3%
P3
48.1%
43.8%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
51.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 16:33 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |