Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 90.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 67.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 82.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Matthews
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Matthews
Suzuki
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
1
Matthews
Suzuki
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
1
Matthews
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
47.0% (1,066)
+5.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
49.5% (204)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
46.6% (131)
+28.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Matthews
Suzuki
Home
54.8% (515)
49.4% (686)
Away
50.2% (534)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Matthews
Suzuki
P1
54.4%
45.6%
P2
50.4%
46.9%
P3
51.8%
49.8%
OT
75.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |