Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 71.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 67.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Matthews
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Matthews
Suzuki
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
1
Matthews
Suzuki
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Matthews
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
50.3% (1,075)
+6.0%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
49.3% (219)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
43.1% (116)
+6.9%
On power play, Matthews has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Matthews
Suzuki
Home
60.7% (572)
53.6% (711)
Away
52.4% (657)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Matthews
Suzuki
P1
60.3%
48.5%
P2
55.6%
51.7%
P3
53.3%
49.0%
OT
45.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |