Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Hintz 52.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 67.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 52.8%
Neutral zone
Hintz 60.1%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Matthews
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Matthews
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Matthews
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
52.9% (526)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
57.4% (108)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
42.5% (40)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hintz
Home
60.7% (572)
53.8% (329)
Away
52.4% (657)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Matthews
Hintz
P1
60.3%
55.6%
P2
55.6%
53.0%
P3
53.3%
51.7%
OT
45.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |