Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Hintz 55.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 57.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 51.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Matthews
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Matthews
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
56.3% (512)
-2.9%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
63.3% (30)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
45.8% (24)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hintz
Home
56.5% (703)
57.3% (262)
Away
50.0% (616)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Matthews
Hintz
P1
52.1%
54.8%
P2
54.0%
56.0%
P3
54.0%
57.5%
OT
57.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |