Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Hintz 51.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 50.5%
Defensive zone
Hintz 50.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Matthews
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Matthews
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Matthews
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
52.6% (439)
+0.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
37.9% (29)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
63.6% (11)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Hintz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hintz
Home
54.8% (515)
53.5% (256)
Away
50.2% (534)
50.2% (223)
By Period
Matthews
Hintz
P1
54.4%
59.5%
P2
50.4%
49.2%
P3
51.8%
47.1%
OT
75.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |