Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Hintz 53.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 63.7%
Defensive zone
Hintz 53.9%
Neutral zone
Hintz 52.0%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Matthews
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Matthews
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
53.6% (711)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
53.8% (93)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
58.7% (46)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hintz
Home
59.1% (528)
52.6% (460)
Away
55.1% (695)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Matthews
Hintz
P1
56.2%
59.0%
P2
58.1%
52.7%
P3
56.4%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |