Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Colton 51.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 85.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 63.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 66.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Matthews
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Matthews
Colton
Last 7: Matthews 5-2 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Matthews
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
52.7% (524)
+3.6%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
50.9% (53)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
0.0% (4)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Colton is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Matthews
Colton
Home
60.7% (572)
52.9% (291)
Away
52.4% (657)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Matthews
Colton
P1
60.3%
50.6%
P2
55.6%
54.4%
P3
53.3%
51.6%
OT
45.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |