Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Colton 54.0% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 68.4%
Defensive zone
Colton 61.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Matthews
Colton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
56.1% (173)
-3.4%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
56.3% (16)
-21.7%
On power play, Colton has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Colton is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Matthews
Colton
Home
54.8% (515)
55.3% (94)
Away
50.2% (534)
56.8% (95)
By Period
Matthews
Colton
P1
54.4%
48.1%
P2
50.4%
62.5%
P3
51.8%
57.1%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
56.1%