Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Colton 48.5% (+12.8%)
Offensive zone
Colton 57.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 56.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.4%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Matthews
Colton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
45.5% (88)
+14.3%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
71.4% (7)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
0.0% (1)
+56.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Colton is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Matthews
Colton
Home
60.0% (520)
44.7% (47)
Away
59.3% (452)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Matthews
Colton
P1
60.2%
52.8%
P2
58.2%
47.1%
P3
60.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%