Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Colton 51.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 56.4%
Defensive zone
Colton 69.7%
Neutral zone
Colton 57.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Matthews
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Matthews
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Matthews
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
52.1% (741)
+1.3%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
48.3% (60)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
42.1% (19)
-0.2%
On power play, Matthews has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Matthews
Colton
Home
56.5% (703)
54.0% (411)
Away
50.0% (616)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Matthews
Colton
P1
52.1%
56.7%
P2
54.0%
53.1%
P3
54.0%
46.3%
OT
57.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Ross Colton |