Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Colton 45.2% (+16.6%)
Offensive zone
Colton 68.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 80.4%
Neutral zone
Colton 51.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Matthews
Colton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
41.3% (75)
+17.0%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
35.3% (17)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
40.0% (5)
+10.7%
On power play, Matthews has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Colton is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Matthews
Colton
Home
59.1% (528)
42.9% (49)
Away
55.1% (695)
37.5% (48)
By Period
Matthews
Colton
P1
56.2%
48.9%
P2
58.1%
33.3%
P3
56.4%
31.8%
Final 5 min
55.5%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
40.2%