Auston Matthews vs Yanni Gourde
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Gourde 48.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 32-15 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 98.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 88.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 92.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 93.1%
93.1%
6.9%
Matthews
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
15
(47 meetings)
32
15
Matthews
Gourde
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
10
2
Matthews
Gourde
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
6
7
Matthews
Gourde
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
16
6
Matthews
Gourde
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
48.4% (4,954)
+5.6%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
57.4% (376)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
39.9% (554)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Matthews
Gourde
Home
56.3% (5,065)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Matthews
Gourde
P1
55.5%
49.9%
P2
53.3%
47.4%
P3
52.8%
47.5%
OT
56.6%
37.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 11:55 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |