Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.3% vs Nelson 51.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Goodrow 57.5%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 79.7%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 69.0%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Goodrow
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Goodrow
Nelson
Last 10: Goodrow 2-8 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
7
Goodrow
Nelson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
2
Goodrow
Nelson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
3
Goodrow
Nelson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (535)
50.7% (902)
+1.6%
Power Play
36.4% (55)
59.8% (169)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (209)
48.3% (116)
-3.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Goodrow is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Goodrow shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Nelson
Home
52.9% (361)
53.6% (603)
Away
46.1% (438)
49.9% (585)
By Period
Goodrow
Nelson
P1
48.4%
55.4%
P2
48.1%
47.2%
P3
51.1%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.2%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |