Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.4%). Goodrow wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Nelson 49.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 75.9%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 73.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Goodrow
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Goodrow
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Nelson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
49.9% (840)
-0.6%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
52.8% (89)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
28.6% (35)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Goodrow has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Goodrow shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Nelson
Home
50.6% (385)
49.8% (458)
Away
48.0% (356)
49.0% (506)
By Period
Goodrow
Nelson
P1
49.1%
50.1%
P2
46.9%
45.4%
P3
52.3%
52.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |