Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.8% vs Nelson 50.6% (-8.9%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 64.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Goodrow
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
50.7% (879)
-11.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
58.6% (162)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
43.4% (198)
+16.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Nelson
Home
36.0% (25)
52.3% (621)
Away
54.5% (11)
48.9% (618)
By Period
Goodrow
Nelson
P1
46.2%
48.4%
P2
30.8%
53.5%
P3
50.0%
50.3%
Final 5 min
22.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
41.7%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%